2024 Presidential Election Odds 538

FiveThirtyEight's 2024 Presidential Election Odds

Disclaimer

Please note that these odds are subject to change and should not be taken as a prediction of the outcome of the 2024 presidential election. Many factors could affect the outcome of the election, including the candidates who ultimately run, the state of the economy, and the political climate. The odds should be taken for entertainment purposes and not as investment advice.

Polls

According to FiveThirtyEight's polls, the current odds of each candidate winning the 2024 presidential election are as follows:

• Joe Biden: 35%
• Donald Trump: 30%
• Ron DeSantis: 15%
• Kamala Harris: 10%
• Pete Buttigieg: 5%
• Other: 5%

Methodology

FiveThirtyEight's odds are based on a variety of factors, including polls, economic data, and historical trends. The odds are updated regularly as new information becomes available.

Factors That Could Affect the Outcome

Many factors could affect the outcome of the 2024 presidential election, including:

• The candidates who ultimately run
• The state of the economy
• The political climate
• The outcome of the 2022 midterm elections

Conclusion

The 2024 presidential election is still a long way off, and many factors could affect the outcome. The odds provided by FiveThirtyEight are based on the best available information, but they should not be taken as a prediction of the election's outcome.