Opinion Poll 2024 Aaj Tak: BJP Expected to Retain Power, Congress to Improve but Still Trail in Uttar Pradesh

Key Points

* The Aaj Tak opinion poll predicts a comfortable win for the BJP in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. * The BJP is expected to win 275-285 seats, while the Congress is projected to improve its tally but still trail behind with 150-160 seats. * The poll suggests that the BJP's popularity remains strong in Uttar Pradesh, where it is likely to win 65-70 seats.

Expected Results of the Opinion Poll

The Aaj Tak opinion poll was conducted by C-Voter and surveyed 125,000 people across India. The poll found that the BJP is expected to win 275-285 seats in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, which would be a significant increase from its current tally of 303 seats. The Congress is projected to improve its performance from the 2019 election, in which it won only 52 seats, but it is still expected to trail behind the BJP with 150-160 seats. In Uttar Pradesh, the BJP is likely to retain its dominance, winning 65-70 seats out of the state's 80 Lok Sabha seats. The Samajwadi Party (SP) is expected to be the main opposition party in the state, with 5-7 seats. The Congress is projected to win 3-5 seats in Uttar Pradesh, a slight improvement from its performance in the 2019 election. Political analysts believe that the BJP's strong showing in Uttar Pradesh is due to the popularity of Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath, who is seen as a charismatic and decisive leader. The BJP's focus on Hindutva, or Hindu nationalism, is also likely to have helped the party win support in the state.

Implications of the Poll Results

The results of the Aaj Tak opinion poll suggest that the BJP is well-positioned to win the 2024 Lok Sabha elections and retain power at the national level. The party's popularity in Uttar Pradesh, the country's most populous state, is a major advantage for the BJP. If the poll results hold true, the BJP will be able to form a government on its own, without the need for coalition partners. The poll results also indicate that the Congress is facing an uphill battle in the 2024 elections. The party has been struggling to regain its former glory and has been plagued by internal divisions. The Congress will need to find a way to appeal to voters across the country if it wants to challenge the BJP's dominance. The Aaj Tak opinion poll is just one of many that are likely to be conducted in the run-up to the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. It is important to note that opinion polls can be inaccurate, and the actual results of the election may differ from the poll's predictions.