Swing State Polling, June 2024

Biden Leads in Pennsylvania But Lead Shrinking

A new poll from Franklin & Marshall College shows that President Biden leads former President Trump by 4 points in Pennsylvania, 49% to 45%. This is a narrower margin than in April, when Biden led by 8 points. The poll also found that Biden's approval rating in Pennsylvania is 48%, while Trump's is 43%.

Trump Leads in Florida

A new poll from Quinnipiac University shows that Trump leads Biden by 6 points in Florida, 49% to 43%. This is a wider margin than in April, when Trump led by 4 points. The poll also found that Trump's approval rating in Florida is 52%, while Biden's is 42%.

Biden and Trump Tied in Michigan

A new poll from the Detroit Free Press shows that Biden and Trump are tied in Michigan, 45% to 45%. This is a narrower margin than in April, when Biden led by 3 points. The poll also found that Biden's approval rating in Michigan is 47%, while Trump's is 43%.

Polls Show Tight Races in Other Swing States

Polls in other swing states also show tight races. In Wisconsin, Biden leads Trump by 3 points, 48% to 45%. In North Carolina, Trump leads Biden by 2 points, 47% to 45%. And in Arizona, Biden leads Trump by 1 point, 46% to 45%.

Conclusion

The polls show that the races in the swing states are very close. Biden has a slight lead in Pennsylvania and Michigan, while Trump has a slight lead in Florida. The races in Wisconsin, North Carolina, and Arizona are tied. These polls are just a snapshot in time, and the races could change significantly between now and the election. However, they do provide some insight into the current state of the race for the presidency.